How much revenue did AVOID make?

$3k–$7k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did AVOID sell?

Q: How many copies did AVOID sell?

992 to 2k copies, based on its 40 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 992–2k; $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut; from 40 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid AVOID and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including AVOID's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–15k

best case 65k (FOTONICA)

Games like AVOID

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–15k copies

≈ $1k–$58k after Steam's cut

from ~102 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

None of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: FOTONICA at ≈ 50k–81k copies, ≈ $204k–$549k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 16 reviews in their first month; the range was 8 to 256.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (6 of 8) and Runner (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with First-Person + Abstract, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
NERVE 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut	$9.99	51 reviews Very Positive	ArcadeRunner
The Deletion 2015	Est. copies ≈ 11k–18k 2.2x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut	$1.99	228 reviews Mostly Positive	Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Neodash 2022	Est. copies ≈ 13k–21k 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $57k–$152k after Steam's cut $103k–$234k before Steam's cut	$15.99	519 reviews Very Positive	RacingAction
Tiltagon 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6k–10k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue Free	Free	152 reviews Mostly Positive	CasualIndie
FOTONICA 2014	Est. copies ≈ 50k–81k 8.7x vs typical SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $204k–$549k after Steam's cut $371k–$845k before Steam's cut	$14.99	885 reviews Very Positive	IndieAction
GoBlock's Impossible Medley 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $487–$1k after Steam's cut $886–$2k before Steam's cut	$0.99	52 reviews Very Positive	CasualIndie
Jumping Knight 2020	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $304–$817 after Steam's cut $552–$1k before Steam's cut	$0.99	45 reviews Positive	ActionAdventure
Kursor 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $651–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$1.99	48 reviews Positive	CasualMinimalist