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How many copies did NERVE sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 51 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NERVE and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NERVE's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 30k–79k
best case 466k (Haste)
Games like NERVE

A typical game among these

≈ 30k–79k copies

≈ $34k–$107k after Steam's cut

from ~906 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Haste at ≈ 355k–577k copies, ≈ $2.0M–$5.2M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 256 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (7 of 8) and Runner (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fast-Paced + Female Protagonist, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Female Protagonist + 3D Platformer + Rogue-lite; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Haste
2025
Est. copies
≈ 355k–577k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Fast-PacedAction
Boson X
2014
Est. copies
≈ 89k–144k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$122k–$327k after Steam's cut $221k–$503k before Steam's cut
$4.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultAction
Neodash
2022
Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$57k–$152k after Steam's cut $103k–$234k before Steam's cut
$15.99
519 reviews
Very Positive
RacingAction
Vecter
2020
Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Free to PlayRacing
oO
2015
Est. copies
≈ 47k–77k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before Steam's cut
$0.99
972 reviews
Very Positive
DifficultArcade
Ding Dong XL
2018
Est. copies
≈ 28k–45k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$7k–$20k after Steam's cut $14k–$31k before Steam's cut
$0.99
906 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RunnerDifficult
Velocibox
2014
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$58k–$157k after Steam's cut $106k–$242k before Steam's cut
$5.99
634 reviews
Very Positive
IndieAction
Tribal Pass
2016
Est. copies
≈ 18k–30k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$35k–$94k after Steam's cut $64k–$145k before Steam's cut
$6.99
437 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureIndie

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