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How many copies did Tiltagon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
from 152 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Tiltagon and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tiltagon's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–59k
best case 553k (Downwell)
Games like Tiltagon

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–59k copies

≈ $2k–$55k after Steam's cut

from ~169 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Downwell at ≈ 421k–685k copies, ≈ $346k–$931k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26 reviews in their first month; the range was 15 to 4k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (8 of 8) and Precision Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Action Roguelike, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shotgun Cop Man
2025
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
4.2x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$200k before Steam's cut
$9.99
708 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Downwell
2015
Est. copies
≈ 421k–685k
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$931k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerAction Roguelike
Fallen Cube
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$421–$1k after Steam's cut $766–$2k before Steam's cut
$0.99
45 reviews
Negative
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
I Wanna Maker
2023
Est. copies
≈ 127k–206k
30x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerLevel Editor
One More Line
2015
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$12k–$32k after Steam's cut $21k–$48k before Steam's cut
$2.99
292 reviews
Mostly Positive
RhythmFast-Paced
Super High Ball: Pinball Platformer
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$9.99
43 reviews
Positive
Two Parsecs From Earth
2020
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
31 reviews
Positive
Asteroid Drift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 719–1k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$591–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before Steam's cut
$2.99
29 reviews
Positive

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