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How many copies did Shotgun Cop Man sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 18k–29k
$48k–$130k after Steam's cut $88k–$200k before Steam's cut
from 708 reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Shotgun Cop Man and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shotgun Cop Man's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 13k–65k
best case 553k (Downwell)
Games like Shotgun Cop Man

A typical game among these

≈ 13k–65k copies

≈ $35k–$498k after Steam's cut

from ~372 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Downwell at ≈ 421k–685k copies, ≈ $346k–$931k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 74 reviews in their first month; the range was 66 to 442.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (7 of 8) and Precision Platformer (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Precision Platformer + Action Roguelike, priced around $3.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Downwell
2015
Est. copies
≈ 421k–685k
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$346k–$931k after Steam's cut $630k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$2.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Precision PlatformerAction Roguelike
SATAZIUS
2011
Est. copies
≈ 21k–33k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$34k–$91k after Steam's cut $62k–$140k before Steam's cut
$5.99
326 reviews
Very Positive
Shoot 'Em UpBullet Hell
Speed Limit
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before Steam's cut
$9.99
204 reviews
Very Positive
ArcadeFast-Paced
Blaster Shooter GunGuy!
2015
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before Steam's cut
$1.99
407 reviews
Mixed
Side ScrollerPrecision Platformer
Escape This
2016
Est. copies
≈ 30k–48k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$41k–$109k after Steam's cut $74k–$168k before Steam's cut
$4.99
710 reviews
Mixed
Precision PlatformerPerma Death
Grass Cutter - Mutated Lawns
2017
Est. copies
≈ 12k–19k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
337 reviews
Very Positive
DifficultGore
HUNTDOWN
2021
Est. copies
≈ 110k–179k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$604k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Side ScrollerPixel Graphics
Crystal Call
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
204 reviews
Very Positive
ActionAction-Adventure

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.