How much revenue did Baisu make?

$19k–$52k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Baisu sell?

Q: How many copies did Baisu sell?

7k to 12k copies, based on its 286 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 7k–12k; $19k–$52k after Steam's cut $35k–$81k before Steam's cut; from 286 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Baisu and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Baisu's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8.9M–17.1M

best case 99.7M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)

Games like Baisu

A typical game among these

≈ 8.9M–17.1M copies

≈ $51.1M–$197.4M after Steam's cut

from ~306k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 76.0M–123.4M copies.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 68k reviews in their first month; the range was 35k to 143k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (3 of 8) and Horror (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
House Flipper 2018	Est. copies ≈ 3.4M–5.5M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $23.4M–$63.0M after Steam's cut $42.6M–$96.9M before Steam's cut	$24.99	112k reviews Very Positive	SimulationDesign & Illustration
Resident Evil 4 2023	Est. copies ≈ 7.0M–11.3M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $76.4M–$205.5M after Steam's cut $139.0M–$316.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	280k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HorrorAction
Cities: Skylines 2015	Est. copies ≈ 14.2M–23.1M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $117.2M–$315.2M after Steam's cut $213.1M–$484.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	291k reviews Very Positive	City Builder Simulation
Lethal Company 2023	Est. copies ≈ 12.7M–20.6M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut	$9.99	511k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Online Co-OpHorror
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 76.0M–123.4M 5.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.6M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
World of Tanks Blitz 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.4M–10.4M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	153k reviews Mostly Positive	TanksFree to Play
Ready or Not 2023	Est. copies ≈ 8.6M–14.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $118.4M–$318.4M after Steam's cut $215.3M–$489.8M before Steam's cut	$49.99	347k reviews Mostly Positive	TacticalRealistic
People Playground 2019	Est. copies ≈ 9.2M–15.0M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $25.4M–$68.2M after Steam's cut $46.1M–$104.9M before Steam's cut	$9.99	321k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxGore