How much revenue did FLATHEAD make?

$6k–$15k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did FLATHEAD sell?

Q: How many copies did FLATHEAD sell?

10k to 17k copies, based on its 412 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 10k–17k; $6k–$15k after Steam's cut $10k–$23k before Steam's cut; from 412 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid FLATHEAD and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FLATHEAD's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 620k–2.5M

best case 3.4M (SOMA)

Games like FLATHEAD

A typical game among these

≈ 620k–2.5M copies

≈ $2.0M–$13.2M after Steam's cut

from ~27k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: SOMA at ≈ 2.6M–4.2M copies, ≈ $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Puzzle (6 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Psychological Horror, priced around $30.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2010 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
SOMA 2015	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.4M–$57.4M after Steam's cut $38.8M–$88.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	53k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Horror Psychological Horror
Amnesia: The Dark Descent 2010	Est. copies ≈ 2.3M–3.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $12.4M–$33.4M after Steam's cut $22.6M–$51.4M before Steam's cut	$19.99	36k reviews Very Positive	HorrorGore
Scorn 2022	Est. copies ≈ 494k–802k SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut	$39.99	20k reviews Mostly Positive	GoreHorror
The Room Three 2018	Est. copies ≈ 409k–665k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $674k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut	$5.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleMystery
The Room Two 2016	Est. copies ≈ 908k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut	$4.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleMystery
The Room 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut	$4.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzleMystery
SIGNALIS 2022	Est. copies ≈ 862k–1.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.7M–$12.7M after Steam's cut $8.6M–$19.6M before Steam's cut	$19.99	35k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Survival Horror Psychological Horror
Rusty Lake: Roots 2016	Est. copies ≈ 384k–624k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $421k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $766k–$1.7M before Steam's cut	$3.99	9k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	PuzzlePoint & Click