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How many copies did Barbotine sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$4k–$10k after Steam's cut $7k–$15k before Steam's cut
from 176 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Barbotine and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Barbotine's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 23k–222k
best case 1.1M (Superliminal)
Games like Barbotine

A typical game among these

≈ 23k–222k copies

≈ $59k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Superliminal at ≈ 848k–1.4M copies, ≈ $4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 724 reviews in their first month; the range was 18 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Surreal (7 of 8) and Psychological (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + First-Person, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Psychopomp GOLD
2024
Est. copies
≈ 134k–218k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$332k–$892k after Steam's cut $603k–$1.4M before Steam's cut
$8.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hypnospace Outlaw
2019
Est. copies
≈ 160k–261k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$882k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
1990'sSimulation
Superliminal
2020
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
7.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.7M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.5M–$19.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFirst-Person
THE CORRIDOR
2020
Est. copies
≈ 91k–147k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$50k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before Steam's cut
$1.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
ComedySingleplayer
Indecision.
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$67k before Steam's cut
$2.99
645 reviews
Very Positive
ExperienceExperimental
"I Know This Place..?" chapter I (prologue)
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$0.99
175 reviews
Very Positive
Detective1990's
A Space for the Unbound
2023
Est. copies
≈ 196k–318k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichPixel Graphics
Revenge Of The Colon
2023
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $68k–$154k before Steam's cut
$12.99
421 reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.