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How many copies did Indecision. sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 20k–32k
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$67k before Steam's cut
from 645 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Indecision. and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Indecision.'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 22k–99k
best case 1.5M (The Beginner's Guide)
Games like Indecision.

A typical game among these

≈ 22k–99k copies

≈ $69k–$257k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Exploration (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Beginner's Guide at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 64 reviews in their first month; the range was 56 to 214.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Exploration (4 of 8) and Walking Simulator (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Walking Simulator, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Narration + First-Person; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2009 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.8x vs typical
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The Beginner's Guide
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CasualExploration
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AdventureIndie
Etherborn
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≈ 13k–21k
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