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How many copies did The Path sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 54k–88k
$149k–$401k after Steam's cut $271k–$616k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Path out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Path's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.6M–8.2M
best case 123.4M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

All 8 of your similar games are hits. A big, proven genre for a game like yours.

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

A typical game
≈ 4.6M–8.2M copies
≈ $40.0M–$54.5M after Steam's cut
from ~116k reviews
Best case
≈ 94.0M–152.8M copies
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
A breakout hit, far above a typical game.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Survival (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Battle Royale + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

Copies and revenue are rough lifetime estimates from the review count.

Similar games

Assetto Corsa
2014
Est. copies
≈ 9.0M–14.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.2M–$132.3M after Steam's cut $89.5M–$203.6M before the cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Very Positive
RacingAutomobile Sim
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut
$29.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPsychological
Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.3M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.7M before the cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
The Isle
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$29.7M–$79.8M after Steam's cut $54.0M–$122.8M before the cut
$19.99
116k reviews
Very Positive
DinosaursSurvival
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.0M–152.8M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
The Long Dark
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$23.2M–$62.5M after Steam's cut $42.2M–$96.1M before the cut
$19.99
123k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World Survival Craft
Outlast
2013
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.5M–$79.2M after Steam's cut $53.6M–$121.8M before the cut
$14.99
137k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person
INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.6M–$55.5M after Steam's cut $37.5M–$85.4M before the cut
$24.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.