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How big is The Good Time Garden?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 84k–137k
from 3k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Good Time Garden and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Good Time Garden's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 10.5M–22.0M
best case 125.7M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like The Good Time Garden

A typical game among these

≈ 10.5M–22.0M copies

≈ $81.9M–$92.3M after Steam's cut

from ~315k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Anime (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 95.8M–155.7M copies.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (3 of 8) and Battle Royale (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Assetto Corsa
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RacingAutomobile Sim
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PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
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8.8x vs typical
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Mixed
SurvivalShooter
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≈ 31.0M–50.3M
3.2x vs typical
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Bloons TD 6
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Free to PlayCute

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