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How many copies did 9 Clues: The Secret of Serpent Creek sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 86k–139k
$353k–$948k after Steam's cut $641k–$1.5M before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid 9 Clues: The Secret of Serpent Creek and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including 9 Clues: The Secret of Serpent Creek's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 525k–1.2M
best case 2.3M (The Room)
Games like 9 Clues: The Secret of Serpent Creek

A typical game among these

≈ 525k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.0M–$3.0M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Room at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Point & Click (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Mystery, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Room
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.1M before Steam's cut
$4.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
Rusty Lake Hotel
2016
Est. copies
≈ 443k–719k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$242k–$651k after Steam's cut $441k–$1.0M before Steam's cut
$1.99
11k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePoint & Click
Hidden Folks
2017
Est. copies
≈ 329k–534k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$14.99
10k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Hidden ObjectCasual
Deponia
2012
Est. copies
≈ 930k–1.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
AdventurePoint & Click
The Room Three
2018
Est. copies
≈ 409k–665k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$674k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before Steam's cut
$5.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
The Room 4: Old Sins
2021
Est. copies
≈ 456k–741k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$8.99
18k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery
Zup!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$203k–$546k after Steam's cut $370k–$841k before Steam's cut
$1.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleCasual
The Room Two
2016
Est. copies
≈ 908k–1.5M
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.3M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleMystery

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