How much revenue did Utopia Must Fall make?

$84k–$227k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Utopia Must Fall sell?

Q: How many copies did Utopia Must Fall sell?

34k to 55k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 34k–55k; $84k–$227k after Steam's cut $153k–$349k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Utopia Must Fall and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Utopia Must Fall's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 49–2k

best case 27.0M (BeamNG.drive)

Games like Utopia Must Fall

A typical game among these

≈ 49–2k copies

≈ $114–$2k after Steam's cut

from ~7 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: BeamNG.drive at ≈ 20.5M–33.4M copies, ≈ $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 5 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 459.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Arcade (6 of 8) and Bowling (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Simulation + Driving, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Driving + Destruction + Automobile Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Ball Boys 2022	Est. copies ≈ 298–484 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $409–$1k after Steam's cut $744–$2k before Steam's cut	$4.99	12 reviews Positive	ActionCasual
BandRoll 2023	Est. copies ≈ 3k–4k 15x vs typical SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut	$1.99	104 reviews Very Positive	Early AccessRhythm
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M 60140x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Play minigames with Reiko 2023	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $41–$109 after Steam's cut $75–$168 before Steam's cut	$5.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	Early AccessAnime
Bowling Simulator 2025	Est. copies ≈ 50–81 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $83–$221 after Steam's cut $150–$340 before Steam's cut	$5.99	2 reviews 2 user reviews	Early AccessSports
All-In-One Sports VR 2023	Est. copies ≈ 19k–31k 110x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $105k–$283k after Steam's cut $191k–$435k before Steam's cut	$19.99	771 reviews Very Positive	VRSimulation
Bash Sports Online Bowling 2024	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before Steam's cut	$0.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	SportsCasual
Pure Bowl VR Bowling 2021	Est. copies ≈ 174–282 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $813–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut	$16.99	7 reviews 7 user reviews	BowlingVR