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How many copies did Robowars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–27k
$18k–$48k after Steam's cut $33k–$74k before Steam's cut
from 292 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Robowars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Robowars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 39k–51k
best case 758k (Tribes of Midgard)
Games like Robowars

A typical game among these

≈ 39k–51k copies

≈ $151k–$358k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action Roguelike (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tribes of Midgard at ≈ 577k–938k copies, ≈ $3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 620 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 8k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (4 of 8) and Rogue-like (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Action RPG, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Online Co-Op + Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Trigon: Space Story
2022
Est. copies
≈ 35k–57k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$194k–$522k after Steam's cut $353k–$802k before Steam's cut
$19.99
1k reviews
Mixed
IsometricRogue-like
Ancient Demon Shadow
2024
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$238–$642 after Steam's cut $433–$988 before Steam's cut
$6.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
ActionRacing
Samurai Bringer
2022
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$74k–$199k after Steam's cut $135k–$306k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
Spectacle fighterAction
Fate Seeker: Journey
2022
Est. copies
≈ 30k–49k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$82k–$221k after Steam's cut $149k–$340k before Steam's cut
$10.00
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGAction
Wild world
2021
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$142–$381 after Steam's cut $258–$586 before Steam's cut
$0.99
21 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Home Wars
2017
Est. copies
≈ 41k–66k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$112k–$302k after Steam's cut $204k–$464k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
RTSFPS
SpellForce 3 Fallen God
2020
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$214k–$577k after Steam's cut $390k–$887k before Steam's cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
RPGStrategy
Tribes of Midgard
2021
Est. copies
≈ 577k–938k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open World Survival CraftOnline Co-Op

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