How much revenue did The Midnight Walk make?

$601k–$1.6M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Midnight Walk sell?

Q: How many copies did The Midnight Walk sell?

73k to 118k copies, based on its 3k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 73k–118k; $601k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before Steam's cut; from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Midnight Walk and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Midnight Walk's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.2M–1.6M

best case 8.9M (Darkest Dungeon®)

Games like The Midnight Walk

A typical game among these

≈ 1.2M–1.6M copies

≈ $7.4M–$10.3M after Steam's cut

from ~24k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Dark (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Darkest Dungeon® at ≈ 6.8M–11.0M copies, ≈ $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Dark (3 of 8) and Dark Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Horror + Team-Based, priced around $35.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Salt and Sanctuary 2016	Est. copies ≈ 915k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.5M–$12.2M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.7M before Steam's cut	$17.99	22k reviews Very Positive	Souls-like Metroidvania
Warhammer 40,000: Darktide 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.6M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $38.0M–$102.2M after Steam's cut $69.1M–$157.2M before Steam's cut	$39.99	139k reviews Mostly Positive	HorrorTeam-Based
Hatred 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.4M–$6.5M after Steam's cut $4.4M–$10.0M before Steam's cut	$5.99	30k reviews Very Positive	GoreViolent
Vampyr 2018	Est. copies ≈ 772k–1.3M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $8.5M–$22.8M after Steam's cut $15.4M–$35.1M before Steam's cut	$39.99	25k reviews Mostly Positive	VampireRPG
Fran Bow 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.6M–$12.5M after Steam's cut $8.4M–$19.2M before Steam's cut	$14.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Psychological Horror Story Rich
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin 2015	Est. copies ≈ 6.5M–10.5M 5.5x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut	$39.99	133k reviews Very Positive	Souls-likeDark Fantasy
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice 2017	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.3M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $21.7M–$58.5M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$90.0M before Steam's cut	$29.99	77k reviews Very Positive	AtmosphericPsychological
Darkest Dungeon® 2016	Est. copies ≈ 6.8M–11.0M 6.7x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $46.5M–$125.1M after Steam's cut $84.6M–$192.5M before Steam's cut	$24.99	163k reviews Very Positive	Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy