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How many copies did A Death in the Red Light sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1k–2k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 50 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid A Death in the Red Light and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including A Death in the Red Light's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 152k–331k
best case 3.1M (L.A. Noire)
Games like A Death in the Red Light

A typical game among these

≈ 152k–331k copies

≈ $1.7M–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: L.A. Noire at ≈ 2.3M–3.8M copies, ≈ $12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 972 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Detective (8 of 8) and Investigation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Detective + Crime, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World + Noir + Crime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Ace Attorney Investigations Collection
2024
Est. copies
≈ 121k–196k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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AdventureInvestigation
Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy
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Est. copies
≈ 111k–181k
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AdventureVisual Novel
The Testament of Sherlock Holmes
2012
Est. copies
≈ 251k–407k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
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$19.99
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AdventureDetective
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Est. copies
≈ 253k–411k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.7M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
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MysteryPuzzle
L.A. Noire
2011
Est. copies
≈ 2.3M–3.8M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.8M–$34.5M after Steam's cut $23.4M–$53.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 103k–167k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$19.99
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Sherlock Holmes: Crimes and Punishments
2014
Est. copies
≈ 451k–733k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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2024
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≈ 167k–271k
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$9.99
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