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How many copies did Monster Prom 4: Monster Con sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 53k–86k
$219k–$589k after Steam's cut $398k–$906k before Steam's cut
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Monster Prom 4: Monster Con and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Monster Prom 4: Monster Con's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 188k–459k
best case 487k (A Date with Death)
Games like Monster Prom 4: Monster Con

A typical game among these

≈ 188k–459k copies

≈ $607k–$1.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: A Date with Death at ≈ 371k–603k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 171 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Visual Novel (8 of 8) and LGBTQ+ (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dating Sim + Visual Novel.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dream Daddy: A Dad Dating Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 216k–350k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$889k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Dating Sim
Our Life: Beginnings & Always
2020
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelRomance
Marco & The Galaxy Dragon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 196k–319k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
Monster Prom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–708k
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$11.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimComedy
A Date with Death
2023
Est. copies
≈ 371k–603k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimVisual Novel
Monster Prom 2: Monster Camp
2020
Est. copies
≈ 152k–248k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$502k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $913k–$2.1M before Steam's cut
$11.99
6k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Dating SimLGBTQ+
Monster Prom 3: Monster Roadtrip
2022
Est. copies
≈ 82k–134k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$271k–$729k after Steam's cut $493k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$11.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelLGBTQ+
Chasing Tails ~A Promise in the Snow~
2021
Est. copies
≈ 117k–189k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$256k–$689k after Steam's cut $466k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$7.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentHentai

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