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How many copies did Dream Daddy: A Dad Dating Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 216k–350k
$889k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Dream Daddy: A Dad Dating Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dream Daddy: A Dad Dating Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 490k–615k
best case 6.5M (The Sims™ 4)
Games like Dream Daddy: A Dad Dating Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 490k–615k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~15k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is NSFW (3 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Sims™ 4 at ≈ 5.0M–8.1M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 7k reviews in their first month; the range was 951 to 11k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share NSFW (3 of 8) and Simulation (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Life Sim + Character Customization, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Utilities + Software; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Sims™ 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.1M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
201k reviews
Very Positive
Life SimCharacter Customization
Monster Prom
2018
Est. copies
≈ 436k–708k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
$11.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Dating SimComedy
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
Genital Jousting
2018
Est. copies
≈ 343k–557k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$659k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before Steam's cut
$6.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Pizza Tower
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
4.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.9M–$26.7M after Steam's cut $18.0M–$41.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great Soundtrack2D Platformer
Changed
2018
Est. copies
≈ 565k–919k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$776k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before Steam's cut
$4.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
CuteDifficult
SteamVR
unreleased
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
87k reviews
Very Positive
VRSoftware
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature

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