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How many copies did The Emerald Tablet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 634–1k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before Steam's cut
from 22 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid The Emerald Tablet and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including The Emerald Tablet's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 52k–56k
best case 1.4M (Metaphor: ReFantazio)
Games like The Emerald Tablet

A typical game among these

≈ 52k–56k copies

≈ $163k–$300k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Metaphor: ReFantazio at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 12 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Simulation (4 of 7) and Time Management (4 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry RPG + JRPG + Anime; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Dog Brew
2024
Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $70k–$160k before Steam's cut
$3.50
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Metaphor: ReFantazio
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
26x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut
$69.99
43k reviews
Very Positive
RPGJRPG
Winkeltje: The Little Shop
2022
Est. copies
≈ 45k–74k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$187k–$503k after Steam's cut $340k–$774k before Steam's cut
$14.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Shop KeeperCozy
Touhou Mystia's Izakaya
2021
Est. copies
≈ 815k–1.3M
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$5.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
LIGHTNING RETURNS™: FINAL FANTASY® XIII
2015
Est. copies
≈ 237k–384k
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
RPGJRPG
Bakery Magnate: Beginning
2020
Est. copies
≈ 38k–61k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
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Very Positive
Life SimSimulation
Pumping Simulator 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$139k–$372k after Steam's cut $252k–$573k before Steam's cut
$11.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationCasual

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