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How many copies did Cozy Merge sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–6k
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
from 159 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cozy Merge and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cozy Merge's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17k–26k
best case 294k (Tetris® Effect: Connected)
Games like Cozy Merge

A typical game among these

≈ 17k–26k copies

≈ $17k–$100k after Steam's cut

from ~520 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Tetris® Effect: Connected at ≈ 224k–364k copies, ≈ $2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 285 reviews in their first month; the range was 91 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (7 of 8) and Puzzle (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Arcade + Classic, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2013 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 10k–16k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
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CasualPuzzle
VIVIDLOPE
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Est. copies
≈ 13k–21k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$35k–$95k after Steam's cut $64k–$147k before Steam's cut
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520 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ArcadePuzzle
Diamo XL
2017
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
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DifficultArcade
TETRIS® THE GRAND MASTER 4 -ABSOLUTE EYE-
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Est. copies
≈ 16k–26k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$110k–$295k after Steam's cut $199k–$453k before Steam's cut
$24.99
643 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleSingleplayer
PAC-MAN™ Championship Edition DX+
2013
Est. copies
≈ 521k–847k
16x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.9M before Steam's cut
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8k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ArcadeRetro
hololive Treasure Mountain
2024
Est. copies
≈ 23k–37k
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$56k–$151k after Steam's cut $102k–$232k before Steam's cut
$8.99
915 reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CasualCute
Tetris® Effect: Connected
2021
Est. copies
≈ 224k–364k
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.6M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.2M before Steam's cut
$39.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleFamily Friendly
Pretty Girls Panic!
2016
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$11k–$29k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$1.99
470 reviews
Very Positive
CasualAnime

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