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How many copies did Cheese Party sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $991–$2k before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cheese Party and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cheese Party's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 85k–152k
best case 2.0M (HuniePop)
Games like Cheese Party

A typical game among these

≈ 85k–152k copies

≈ $49k–$517k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: HuniePop at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Puzzle (8 of 8) and Match 3 (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Nudity + Mature, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Romance + Mature + Dating Sim; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HuniePop
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut
$9.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
NudityMature
Cyber Crush 2069
2020
Est. copies
≈ 19k–31k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$11k–$28k after Steam's cut $19k–$44k before Steam's cut
$1.99
778 reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualSimulation
PuzzleQuest: Challenge of the Warlords
2008
Est. copies
≈ 71k–116k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$196k–$528k after Steam's cut $357k–$812k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
PuzzleMatch 3
Battle Chef Brigade Deluxe
2017
Est. copies
≈ 97k–157k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$533k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $968k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ActionRPG
Hell Girls
2017
Est. copies
≈ 135k–219k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentAnime
Intergalactic Bubbles
2015
Est. copies
≈ 58k–95k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$132k before Steam's cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
Frozen Free Fall: Snowball Fight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 93k–151k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mixed
Free to PlayCasual
Might & Magic: Clash of Heroes
2011
Est. copies
≈ 164k–266k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
3k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyPuzzle

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.