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How many copies did Magical Battle Festa sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 22k–35k
$59k–$159k after Steam's cut $107k–$244k before Steam's cut
from 384 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Magical Battle Festa and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Magical Battle Festa's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–97k
best case 249k (SENRAN KAGURA ESTIVAL VERSUS)
Games like Magical Battle Festa

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–97k copies

≈ $3k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~126 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: SENRAN KAGURA ESTIVAL VERSUS at ≈ 190k–309k copies, ≈ $1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 22 reviews in their first month; the range was 11 to 351.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (7 of 8) and Female Protagonist (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Nudity + Sexual Content, priced around $30.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Onee Chanbara ORIGIN
2020
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$587k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
SENRAN KAGURA ESTIVAL VERSUS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 190k–309k
44x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.2M after Steam's cut $2.8M–$6.5M before Steam's cut
$29.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content
Mitsurugi Kamui Hikae
2014
Est. copies
≈ 192k–312k
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$528k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $960k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Female ProtagonistHack and Slash
Orc's Bride
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$4.99
52 reviews
Mixed
ActionHack and Slash
Yeah!Fighting Girl
2023
Est. copies
≈ 694–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before Steam's cut
$14.99
28 reviews
Mixed
ActionNudity
Hot Blood
2024
Est. copies
≈ 769–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$7.99
31 reviews
Positive
Hack and SlashBeat 'em up
Save Daddy Trump 4: Maga 2024
2024
Est. copies
≈ 744–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$407–$1k after Steam's cut $740–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
30 reviews
Mixed
3D PlatformerHack and Slash
Kraken City
2024
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$7k–$18k after Steam's cut $12k–$28k before Steam's cut
$4.99
199 reviews
Mixed
Sexual ContentHack and Slash

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