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How many copies did Onee Chanbara ORIGIN sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 36k–58k
$587k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Onee Chanbara ORIGIN and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Onee Chanbara ORIGIN's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 888k–1.3M
best case 9.9M (NARAKA: BLADEPOINT)
Games like Onee Chanbara ORIGIN

A typical game among these

≈ 888k–1.3M copies

≈ $7.5M–$12.0M after Steam's cut

from ~25k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: NARAKA: BLADEPOINT at ≈ 7.5M–12.2M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 33k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Female Protagonist (5 of 8) and Mature (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Battle Royale + Martial Arts. The breakout hits carry Battle Royale + PvP + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Sakura Clicker
2015
Est. copies
≈ 698k–1.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
14k reviews
Very Positive
NudityFree to Play
Bright Memory: Infinite
2021
Est. copies
≈ 990k–1.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
The Walking Dead: The Final Season
2018
Est. copies
≈ 655k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.9M before Steam's cut
$19.99
22k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
Gears 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 729k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$29.99
25k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Mortal Kombat X
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.0M–4.8M
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.3M–$43.9M after Steam's cut $29.7M–$67.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
61k reviews
Very Positive
FightingGore
House Party
2022
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.6M–$7.1M after Steam's cut $4.8M–$10.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
NudityMature
嗜血印 Bloody Spell
2022
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.7M–$18.0M after Steam's cut $12.2M–$27.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
39k reviews
Very Positive
NuditySexual Content

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