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How many copies did NEKOTO sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 397–645
$654–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before Steam's cut
from 16 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid NEKOTO and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including NEKOTO's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 277–976k
best case 4.2M (Cult of the Lamb)
Games like NEKOTO

A typical game among these

≈ 277–976k copies

≈ $1k–$7.0M after Steam's cut

from ~95 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Cult of the Lamb at ≈ 3.2M–5.2M copies, ≈ $22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 24k.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rogue-lite (6 of 8) and Action Roguelike (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Base-Building + Action Roguelike, priced around $25.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 668k–1.1M
283x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$2.8M–$7.4M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.4M before Steam's cut
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Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
暖雪 Warm Snow
2022
Est. copies
≈ 971k–1.6M
412x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut
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Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Catlike Magic
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
$4.99
44 reviews
Positive
CatsMagic
Cult of the Lamb
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.2M
1369x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.2M–$59.6M after Steam's cut $40.3M–$91.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
130k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingCute
Slipstream: Rogue Space
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Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
1.5x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
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Free
Free
146 reviews
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Free to PlayCo-op
Purrgonia
2024
Est. copies
≈ 124–202
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$170–$459 after Steam's cut $309–$706 before Steam's cut
$4.99
5 reviews
5 user reviews
CasualRPG
Cats vs Cthulhu
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Est. copies
≈ 174–282
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Est. revenue
$95–$255 after Steam's cut $173–$393 before Steam's cut
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7 user reviews
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Paw Paw Destiny
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Est. copies
≈ 223–363
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$919–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$14.99
9 reviews
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Dark ComedyCats

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.