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How many copies did exclusive memory sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 6k–10k
$16k–$44k after Steam's cut $30k–$68k before Steam's cut
from 241 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid exclusive memory and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including exclusive memory's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 86k–319k
best case 1.3M (Tricolour Lovestory)
Games like exclusive memory

A typical game among these

≈ 86k–319k copies

≈ $766k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tricolour Lovestory at ≈ 966k–1.6M copies, ≈ $529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sexual Content (8 of 8) and Simulation (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Dating Sim, priced around $2.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

HunieCam Studio
2016
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $962k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$6.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
MatureSexual Content
Tricolour Lovestory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 966k–1.6M
5.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $961k–$2.2M before Steam's cut
$1.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelDating Sim
CUSTOM ORDER MAID 3D2 It's a Night Magic
2019
Est. copies
≈ 45k–72k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$491k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $892k–$2.0M before Steam's cut
$40.00
2k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
DATE A LIVE: Rio Reincarnation
2019
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.2M after Steam's cut $2.2M–$5.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeSimulation
Hentai Asmodeus
2019
Est. copies
≈ 54k–88k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$30k–$80k after Steam's cut $54k–$123k before Steam's cut
$1.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Sexual ContentNudity
Dream Daddy: A Dad Dating Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 216k–350k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$889k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before Steam's cut
$14.99
6k reviews
Very Positive
LGBTQ+Dating Sim
Sakura Beach
2015
Est. copies
≈ 69k–112k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$190k–$511k after Steam's cut $345k–$786k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeNudity
TOGETHER BnB
2021
Est. copies
≈ 232k–377k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$17.99
9k reviews
Mixed
Early AccessSexual Content

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