How much revenue did Sakura Beach make?

$190k–$511k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Sakura Beach sell?

Q: How many copies did Sakura Beach sell?

69k to 112k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 69k–112k; $190k–$511k after Steam's cut $345k–$786k before Steam's cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Sakura Beach and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Sakura Beach's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 663k–1.5M

best case 2.0M (HuniePop)

Games like Sakura Beach

A typical game among these

≈ 663k–1.5M copies

≈ $1.5M–$6.5M after Steam's cut

from ~16k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: HuniePop at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Nudity (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Nudity + Mature, priced around $10.
When they shipped: None of the similar games shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2017. That says more about which games were found than about the market.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 43 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Sakura Clicker 2015	Est. copies ≈ 698k–1.1M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	14k reviews Very Positive	NudityFree to Play
Tricolour Lovestory 2017	Est. copies ≈ 966k–1.6M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $529k–$1.4M after Steam's cut $961k–$2.2M before Steam's cut	$1.99	28k reviews Very Positive	Visual NovelDating Sim
HuniePop 2015	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 2.0x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	32k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	NudityMature
Material Girl 2017	Est. copies ≈ 304k–495k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	9k reviews Very Positive	Sexual ContentNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 3 2017	Est. copies ≈ 414k–672k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut	$9.99	12k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 2 2016	Est. copies ≈ 535k–870k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut	$9.99	13k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AnimeSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 0 2015	Est. copies ≈ 869k–1.4M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut	$2.99	18k reviews Very Positive	AnimeNudity
NEKOPARA Vol. 1 2014	Est. copies ≈ 1.5M–2.5M 1.7x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut	$9.99	27k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	HentaiAnime