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How many copies did Exodus: Creepy Time sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 446–725
$980–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 18 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Exodus: Creepy Time and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Exodus: Creepy Time's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 98–228
best case 1.5M (ROUNDS)
Games like Exodus: Creepy Time

A typical game among these

≈ 98–228 copies

≈ $47–$298 after Steam's cut

from ~4 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Arcade (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: ROUNDS at ≈ 1.1M–1.8M copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 6k reviews in their first month.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Arcade (4 of 8) and Auto Battler (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Beat 'em up + Fighting, priced around $6. The breakout hits carry Action + Fighting + Local Multiplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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