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How many copies did Arc Wizards 2 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 99–161
$218–$585 after Steam's cut $396–$900 before Steam's cut
from 4 reviews (4 user reviews)
Only 4 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Arc Wizards 2 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Arc Wizards 2's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1k–2k
best case 101k (Blue Fire)
Games like Arc Wizards 2

A typical game among these

≈ 1k–2k copies

≈ $2k–$5k after Steam's cut

from ~41 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Blue Fire at ≈ 77k–126k copies, ≈ $425k–$1.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 26 reviews in their first month; the range was 4 to 351.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Souls-like (5 of 8) and Exploration (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Metroidvania + Exploration, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Hack and Slash + Metroidvania + Precision Platformer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
Only 2 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about which games were found than about the market.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Blue Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 77k–126k
76x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$425k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $772k–$1.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
MetroidvaniaExploration
Infinity Castle Dungeon
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
$3.99
43 reviews
Positive
Action RoguelikeExploration
Exploaris: Vermis story
2020
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$11.99
34 reviews
Positive
Early AccessMetroidvania
Monsters Domain
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7k–12k
7.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$39k–$105k after Steam's cut $71k–$162k before Steam's cut
$19.99
287 reviews
Mostly Negative
ActionRPG
Neko Journey
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $4k–$8k before Steam's cut
$4.99
60 reviews
Mixed
AnimePlatformer
Darkness Maze Cube - Hardcore Puzzle Game
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$836–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$3k before Steam's cut
$2.99
41 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerMystery Dungeon
Dungeons & Cocks
2021
Est. copies
≈ 942–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$515–$1k after Steam's cut $937–$2k before Steam's cut
$1.99
38 reviews
Mostly Positive
Adventure3D Platformer
Dungeon Limbus
2021
Est. copies
≈ 546–887
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$6k after Steam's cut $4k–$9k before Steam's cut
$14.99
22 reviews
Mixed
Mystery DungeonPixel Graphics

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.