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How big is Welcome to Dustown?

Estimated players who have it
≈ 21k–34k
from 850 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Welcome to Dustown and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Welcome to Dustown's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 14.1M–33.3M
best case 99.7M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)
Games like Welcome to Dustown

A typical game among these

≈ 14.1M–33.3M copies

≈ $85.4M–$211.6M after Steam's cut

from ~490k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 76.0M–123.4M copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 40k reviews in their first month; the range was 35k to 144k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Co-op (5 of 8) and Horror (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege
2015
Est. copies
≈ 76.0M–123.4M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1.6M reviews
Very Positive
FPSPvP
Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Fall Guys
2020
Est. copies
≈ 11.6M–18.9M
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
468k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerParty Game
Hunt: Showdown 1896
2019
Est. copies
≈ 8.0M–13.1M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$66.3M–$178.3M after Steam's cut $120.6M–$274.4M before Steam's cut
$29.99
279k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldExtraction Shooter
Phasmophobia
2020
Est. copies
≈ 20.9M–33.9M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$114.8M–$308.5M after Steam's cut $208.6M–$474.7M before Steam's cut
$19.99
842k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Dead by Daylight
2016
Est. copies
≈ 39.0M–63.3M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$214.2M–$575.9M after Steam's cut $389.4M–$886.0M before Steam's cut
$19.99
937k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.6M after Steam's cut $63.3M–$144.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
SCP: Secret Laboratory
2017
Est. copies
≈ 8.1M–13.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
235k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayMultiplayer

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