How much revenue did Water: Transformer make?

$1k–$3k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Water: Transformer sell?

Q: How many copies did Water: Transformer sell?

1k to 2k copies, based on its 42 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1k–2k; $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut; from 42 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Water: Transformer and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Water: Transformer's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 110k–122k

best case 1.8M (Trine 2: Complete Story)

Games like Water: Transformer

A typical game among these

≈ 110k–122k copies

≈ $483k–$1.0M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: Trine 2: Complete Story at ≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies, ≈ $7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 596 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Platformer (8 of 8) and Puzzle-Platformer (8 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Puzzle-Platformer + Platformer, priced around $15.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Webbed 2021	Est. copies ≈ 380k–617k 4.4x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$9.99	15k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	2D PlatformerCute
Deepest Sword 2021	Est. copies ≈ 271k–441k 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	11k reviews Very Positive	Pixel Graphics2D Platformer
Braid 2009	Est. copies ≈ 629k–1.0M 2.9x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $2.6M–$7.0M after Steam's cut $4.7M–$10.7M before Steam's cut	$14.99	10k reviews Very Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerPuzzle
Laughing to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 82k–133k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $113k–$302k after Steam's cut $205k–$465k before Steam's cut	$4.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureCasual
Trine 2: Complete Story 2013	Est. copies ≈ 1.4M–2.3M 6.4x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.7M before Steam's cut	$19.99	22k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Puzzle-PlatformerPlatformer
Trine 5: A Clockwork Conspiracy 2023	Est. copies ≈ 86k–140k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $710k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut	$29.99	3k reviews Very Positive	ActionAdventure
Hue 2016	Est. copies ≈ 474k–770k 3.3x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	11k reviews Very Positive	IndiePuzzle
Tukoni: Prologue 2020	Est. copies ≈ 100k–162k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	4k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureCasual