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How many copies did Musician Simulator sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 620–1k
$851–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 25 reviews (Mostly Negative)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Musician Simulator and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Musician Simulator's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 790–8k
best case 47k (FUSER™)
Games like Musician Simulator

A typical game among these

≈ 790–8k copies

≈ $3k–$16k after Steam's cut

from ~73 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: FUSER™ at ≈ 36k–58k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 21 reviews in their first month; the range was 2 to 470.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Rhythm (7 of 8) and Music (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Music + Rhythm.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SynthVR
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$10k–$27k after Steam's cut $19k–$42k before Steam's cut
$24.99
60 reviews
Very Positive
Audio ProductionUtilities
Tribe XR | DJ Academy
2019
Est. copies
≈ 10k–17k
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
359 reviews
Mostly Positive
VRMusic
Hyperun
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut
$5.99
85 reviews
Very Positive
RacingSports
Dance Dash
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$27k–$72k after Steam's cut $49k–$111k before Steam's cut
$19.99
197 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRhythm
DanSparkling
2023
Est. copies
≈ 645–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before Steam's cut
$17.99
26 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessCasual
Rhythium
2022
Est. copies
≈ 471–766
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$517–$1k after Steam's cut $940–$2k before Steam's cut
$3.99
19 reviews
Mixed
CasualSimulation
Hexagroove: Tactical DJ
2020
Est. copies
≈ 174–282
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$956–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
$19.99
7 reviews
7 user reviews
ColorfulMusic
FUSER™
2020
Est. copies
≈ 36k–58k
20x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
1k reviews
Very Positive
MusicCasual

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