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How many copies did Border Dungeon 边境地牢 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 918–1k
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before Steam's cut
from 37 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Border Dungeon 边境地牢 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Border Dungeon 边境地牢's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 778k–1.4M
best case 1.8M (Nioh: Complete Edition)
Games like Border Dungeon 边境地牢

A typical game among these

≈ 778k–1.4M copies

≈ $8.4M–$17.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Action RPG (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Nioh: Complete Edition at ≈ 1.3M–2.2M copies, ≈ $18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action RPG (4 of 8) and Fantasy (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Souls-like + Hack and Slash, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2012 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 1M–2M
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MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Barony
2015
Est. copies
≈ 888k–1.4M
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Dungeon CrawlerAction Roguelike
Nioh: Complete Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.2M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$18.5M–$49.7M after Steam's cut $33.6M–$76.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
39k reviews
Mostly Positive
Souls-likeAction
Idle Champions of the Forgotten Realms
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≈ 374k–607k
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Dungeons & DragonsFree to Play
Wayfinder
2024
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≈ 666k–1.1M
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$4.6M–$12.3M after Steam's cut $8.3M–$18.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
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Mixed
Action RPGOnline Co-Op
Cat Quest
2017
Est. copies
≈ 369k–600k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before Steam's cut
$12.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureRPG
Lords Of The Fallen™ 2014
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.6M–$25.9M after Steam's cut $17.5M–$39.8M before Steam's cut
$29.99
21k reviews
Mixed
Souls-likeDark Fantasy

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