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How many copies did Cat Guardian sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Cat Guardian and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cat Guardian's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 578–35k
best case 87k (Prime World: Defenders 2)
Games like Cat Guardian

A typical game among these

≈ 578–35k copies

≈ $2k–$40k after Steam's cut

from ~93 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

2 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Prime World: Defenders 2 at ≈ 67k–108k copies.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 27 reviews in their first month; the range was 1 to 275.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (7 of 8) and Card Game (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Card Game.
When they shipped
5 of the 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Prime World: Defenders 2
2018
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
24x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Free to PlayTower Defense
希望之城 The City Of Hope
2024
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before Steam's cut
$6.99
129 reviews
Mixed
Casual2D
Prime World: Defenders
2013
Est. copies
≈ 67k–108k
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$183k–$492k after Steam's cut $333k–$758k before Steam's cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Escape Gaia
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut
$6.99
56 reviews
Mostly Positive
StrategyCasual
Kingdom's Deck
2025
Est. copies
≈ 13k–22k
5.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$37k–$100k after Steam's cut $67k–$153k before Steam's cut
$9.99
544 reviews
Mostly Positive
City BuilderBase-Building
FLOAT
2023
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before Steam's cut
$1.99
8 reviews
8 user reviews
CasualStrategy
Tank Survivor
2024
Est. copies
≈ 50–81
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$138–$368 after Steam's cut $250–$566 before Steam's cut
$9.99
2 reviews
2 user reviews
Early AccessTower Defense
Iconia Defenders
2024
Est. copies
≈ 521–846
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before Steam's cut
$11.99
21 reviews
Positive

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