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How many copies did Heroes Rise: The Hero Project sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 10k–16k
$16k–$43k after Steam's cut $29k–$66k before Steam's cut
from 173 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Heroes Rise: The Hero Project and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heroes Rise: The Hero Project's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 320k–418k
best case 1.5M (The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series)
Games like Heroes Rise: The Hero Project

A typical game among these

≈ 320k–418k copies

≈ $1.4M–$3.2M after Steam's cut

from ~11k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies, ≈ $16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choices Matter + Story Rich, priced around $50. The breakout hits carry Choices Matter + Interactive Fiction + Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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SteamSpy 500k–1M
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The Walking Dead: The Telltale Definitive Series
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≈ 1.2M–1.9M
4.2x vs typical
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$16.2M–$43.5M after Steam's cut $29.4M–$66.9M before Steam's cut
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Choices MatterStory Rich
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≈ 237k–385k
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Visual NovelAdventure
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Emily is Away
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≈ 1.6M–2.6M
2.9x vs typical
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Free
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Free to PlayStory Rich
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≈ 266k–433k
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Interactive FictionPuzzle
60 Seconds!
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≈ 571k–927k
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$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$8.99
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Very Positive
Turn-Based TacticsExploration

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.