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How many copies did Bloons TD 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 671k–1.1M
$1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Bloons TD 5 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Bloons TD 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.0M–1.6M
best case 15.8M (Bloons TD 6)
Games like Bloons TD 5

A typical game among these

≈ 1.0M–1.6M copies

≈ $5.4M–$9.2M after Steam's cut

from ~23k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Bloons TD 6 at ≈ 12.0M–19.6M copies, ≈ $46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Tower Defense (6 of 8) and Action RPG (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tower Defense + Co-op, priced around $14. The breakout hits carry Family Friendly + Trading Card Game + Stylized; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.6M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.3M–$124.5M after Steam's cut $84.2M–$191.5M before Steam's cut
$13.99
396k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Mindustry
2019
Est. copies
≈ 813k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
28k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Base-BuildingResource Management
Tribes of Midgard
2021
Est. copies
≈ 577k–938k
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.5M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
23k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open World Survival CraftOnline Co-Op
Bloons TD Battles
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
29k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayTower Defense
Dungeon Defenders
2011
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.0M–$13.3M after Steam's cut $9.0M–$20.5M before Steam's cut
$14.99
19k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Dungeon Defenders II
2017
Est. copies
≈ 763k–1.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
22k reviews
Mostly Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
Orcs Must Die! 2
2012
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$14.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Minion Masters
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
65k reviews
Very Positive
PvETrading Card Game

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