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How many copies did Ells Tales: Chicken sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$910–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut
from 67 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Ells Tales: Chicken and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Ells Tales: Chicken's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 321k–534k
best case 1.5M (Freddy Fazbear's Pizzeria Simulator)
Games like Ells Tales: Chicken

A typical game among these

≈ 321k–534k copies

≈ $1.5M–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~12k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Freddy Fazbear's Pizzeria Simulator at ≈ 1.1M–1.9M copies. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 332 to 7k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and Psychological Horror (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Puzzle + Logic, priced around $17. The breakout hits carry Difficult + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Baldi's Basics Plus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 291k–473k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$800k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.3M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
WORLD OF HORROR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 245k–397k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorLovecraftian
FAITH: The Unholy Trinity
2022
Est. copies
≈ 224k–364k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$922k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut
$14.99
9k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorPixel Graphics
Montaro
2016
Est. copies
≈ 506k–823k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$138k–$371k after Steam's cut $251k–$570k before Steam's cut
$0.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MemesCute
Detention
2017
Est. copies
≈ 407k–661k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.6M before Steam's cut
$11.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorIndie
Baba Is You
2019
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before Steam's cut
$14.99
25k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzleIndie
Aseprite
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.6M after Steam's cut $11.2M–$25.5M before Steam's cut
$19.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsDesign & Illustration
Freddy Fazbear's Pizzeria Simulator
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.9M
2.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
33k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayHorror

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