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How many copies did GAME (not) OVER sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 198–322
$272–$731 after Steam's cut $494–$1k before Steam's cut
from 8 reviews (8 user reviews)
Only 8 reviews so far, so that range swings on one or two people. Read it as a hint, not a measurement.

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid GAME (not) OVER and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including GAME (not) OVER's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 188k–5.0M
best case 8.7M (Vampire Survivors)
Games like GAME (not) OVER

A typical game among these

≈ 188k–5.0M copies

≈ $992k–$13.4M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

6 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Vampire Survivors at ≈ 6.6M–10.7M copies, ≈ $9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 129k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $5.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Vampire Survivors
2022
Est. copies
≈ 6.6M–10.7M
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$9.1M–$24.4M after Steam's cut $16.5M–$37.5M before Steam's cut
$4.99
267k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before Steam's cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor
2025
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–2.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$4.3M–$11.6M after Steam's cut $7.8M–$17.8M before Steam's cut
$12.99
49k reviews
Very Positive
DwarfAction Roguelike
The Binding of Isaac
2011
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.5M–$14.7M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.6M before Steam's cut
$4.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Moon Watch
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut
$9.99
77 reviews
Mixed
Early AccessStrategy
HoloCure - Save the Fans!
2023
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
41k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsBullet Hell
One Step From Eden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 190k–309k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeDifficult
COINS BATTLE
2021
Est. copies
≈ 570–927
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$31k–$84k after Steam's cut $57k–$130k before Steam's cut
$199.99
23 reviews
Negative
Action RoguelikeCard Battler

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