How much revenue did Moon Watch make?

$5k–$14k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Moon Watch sell?

Q: How many copies did Moon Watch sell?

2k to 3k copies, based on its 77 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–3k; $5k–$14k after Steam's cut $10k–$22k before Steam's cut; from 77 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Moon Watch and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Moon Watch's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 68k–584k

best case 1.3M (暖雪 Warm Snow)

Games like Moon Watch

A typical game among these

≈ 68k–584k copies

≈ $130k–$3.9M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: 暖雪 Warm Snow at ≈ 971k–1.6M copies, ≈ $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the range was 728 to 13k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Rogue-like (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Rogue-lite, priced around $18.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2015 to 2024, and 2 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Infinite Tao 2023	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $24k–$65k after Steam's cut $44k–$100k before Steam's cut	$3.99	885 reviews Mostly Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Slime 3K: Rise Against Despot 2024	Est. copies ≈ 43k–69k SteamSpy 50k–100k	Est. revenue $59k–$158k after Steam's cut $107k–$243k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Mostly Positive	Bullet HellAction Roguelike
暖雪 Warm Snow 2022	Est. copies ≈ 971k–1.6M 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $4.8M–$12.9M after Steam's cut $8.7M–$19.9M before Steam's cut	$17.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Nomad Survival 2022	Est. copies ≈ 54k–88k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $75k–$201k after Steam's cut $136k–$309k before Steam's cut	$4.99	2k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Hand of Fate 2 2017	Est. copies ≈ 200k–326k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.7M–$4.4M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.8M before Steam's cut	$29.99	6k reviews Very Positive	RPGRoguelike Deckbuilder
Magicraft 2024	Est. copies ≈ 419k–681k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.6M before Steam's cut	$15.99	17k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
One Step From Eden 2020	Est. copies ≈ 190k–309k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.0M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.3M before Steam's cut	$19.99	8k reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeDifficult
Hand of Fate 2015	Est. copies ≈ 522k–848k 1.6x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.7M after Steam's cut $5.2M–$11.9M before Steam's cut	$19.99	11k reviews Very Positive	Roguelike Deckbuilder Rogue-like