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How many copies did Guess the Flag! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 496–806
$545–$1k after Steam's cut $990–$2k before Steam's cut
from 20 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Guess the Flag! and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Guess the Flag!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 977k–2.2M
best case 4.8M (Tabletop Simulator)
Games like Guess the Flag!

A typical game among these

≈ 977k–2.2M copies

≈ $9.5M–$12.8M after Steam's cut

from ~45k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 7 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Tabletop Simulator at ≈ 3.6M–5.9M copies, ≈ $20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Card Game (6 of 7) and Simulation (4 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Tabletop + Board Game, priced around $20.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2010 to 2026, and 2 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Poker Night at the Inventory (2010 Original Version)
2010
Est. copies
≈ 612k–995k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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Free
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Very Positive
Card GameCasual
Sultan's Game
2025
Est. copies
≈ 876k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.2M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
35k reviews
Very Positive
TCG Card Shop Simulator
2026
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.6M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.6M before Steam's cut
$19.99
51k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Yu-Gi-Oh! Duel Links
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
45k reviews
Very Positive
Free to PlayCard Game
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before Steam's cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
Cultist Simulator
2018
Est. copies
≈ 433k–704k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.4M–$6.4M after Steam's cut $4.3M–$9.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
14k reviews
Mostly Positive
SimulationChoices Matter
Tabletop Simulator
2015
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.0M–$53.8M after Steam's cut $36.4M–$82.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
75k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TabletopBoard Game

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