How much revenue did Way of the Samurai 4 make?

$702k–$1.9M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Way of the Samurai 4 sell?

Q: How many copies did Way of the Samurai 4 sell?

102k to 166k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 102k–166k; $702k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$2.9M before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Way of the Samurai 4 and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including Way of the Samurai 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 708–28k

best case 1.4M (Metaphor: ReFantazio)

Games like Way of the Samurai 4

A typical game among these

≈ 708–28k copies

≈ $939–$204k after Steam's cut

from ~73 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 7 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Metaphor: ReFantazio at ≈ 1.1M–1.7M copies, ≈ $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 23 reviews in their first month; the range was 5 to 15k.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Choose Your Own Adventure (5 of 7) and JRPG (5 of 7).
The winners: Winners here lead with JRPG + Turn-Based Combat, priced around $70.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Metaphor: ReFantazio 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.7M 595x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $20.7M–$55.7M after Steam's cut $37.7M–$85.7M before Steam's cut	$69.99	43k reviews Very Positive	RPGJRPG
Medieval Fantasy Survival Simulator 2: Gladiator Edition 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $991–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$1.99	73 reviews Very Positive	SimulationChoices Matter
Disgraced 2016	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$44k before Steam's cut	$9.99	94 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own AdventureCharacter Customization
Way of the Samurai 3 2016	Est. copies ≈ 38k–62k 13x vs typical SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $210k–$566k after Steam's cut $383k–$870k before Steam's cut	$19.99	920 reviews Mostly Positive	ActionOpen World
Nobunaga's Shadow 2018	Est. copies ≈ 608–988 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $834–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$3k before Steam's cut	$4.99	20 reviews Positive	RPGRPGMaker
Illness in the East 2020	Est. copies ≈ 471–766 SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $128–$345 after Steam's cut $233–$531 before Steam's cut	$0.99	19 reviews Positive	AdventureRPG
烈山海前传之黑帝君临 2022	Est. copies ≈ 223–363 SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $183–$494 after Steam's cut $333–$760 before Steam's cut	$2.99	9 reviews 9 user reviews	ExplorationRPG