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How many copies did Double Dragon Trilogy sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 54k–88k
$90k–$241k after Steam's cut $163k–$370k before Steam's cut
from 1k reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Double Dragon Trilogy and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Double Dragon Trilogy's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 105k–1.6M
best case 4.3M (TEKKEN 7)
Games like Double Dragon Trilogy

A typical game among these

≈ 105k–1.6M copies

≈ $3.2M–$14.9M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

5 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: TEKKEN 7 at ≈ 3.3M–5.3M copies, ≈ $36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
The games that made it here had under 15k reviews in their first month.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Fighting (8 of 8) and Arcade (7 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Fighting + Competitive, priced around $40.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

THE KING OF FIGHTERS XIV STEAM EDITION
2017
Est. copies
≈ 146k–238k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.6M–$9.7M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.0M before Steam's cut
$89.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
FightingArcade
TEKKEN 7
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$36.2M–$97.2M after Steam's cut $65.7M–$149.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
FightingAction
Story of a Gladiator
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$19k–$51k after Steam's cut $34k–$78k before Steam's cut
$10.99
217 reviews
Mostly Positive
Beat 'em upRome
ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4
2023
Est. copies
≈ 545k–886k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.8M before Steam's cut
$39.99
22k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeHack and Slash
Streets of Rage 4
2020
Est. copies
≈ 490k–797k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ActionBeat 'em up
Street Fighter V
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$10.1M–$27.2M after Steam's cut $18.4M–$41.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
44k reviews
Mixed
FightingAction
Punch the Potus
2020
Est. copies
≈ 0
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
0 reviews
No user reviews
CasualPolitical
Final Vendetta
2022
Est. copies
≈ 14k–22k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$94k–$253k after Steam's cut $171k–$389k before Steam's cut
$24.99
552 reviews
Very Positive
Beat 'em upAction

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