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How many copies did ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 545k–886k
$6.0M–$16.1M after Steam's cut $10.9M–$24.8M before Steam's cut
from 22k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4 and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.6M–7.1M
best case 16.0M (Palworld)
Games like ONE PIECE: PIRATE WARRIORS 4

A typical game among these

≈ 6.6M–7.1M copies

≈ $81.9M–$107.3M after Steam's cut

from ~154k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is Hack and Slash (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Palworld at ≈ 12.2M–19.8M copies, ≈ $100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 42k reviews in their first month; the range was 33k to 469k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Hack and Slash (4 of 8) and Open World (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Survival, priced around $27.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2026, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Palworld
2026
Est. copies
≈ 12.2M–19.8M
3.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 50M–100M
Est. revenue
$100.5M–$270.1M after Steam's cut $182.7M–$415.6M before Steam's cut
$29.99
491k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldSurvival
Hades
2020
Est. copies
≈ 7.7M–12.5M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$52.9M–$142.2M after Steam's cut $96.1M–$218.7M before Steam's cut
$24.99
310k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$58.2M–$156.5M after Steam's cut $105.8M–$240.7M before Steam's cut
$39.99
154k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Devil May Cry 5
2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$40.6M–$109.2M after Steam's cut $73.9M–$168.0M before Steam's cut
$29.99
171k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ActionHack and Slash
NARAKA: BLADEPOINT
2021
Est. copies
≈ 7.5M–12.2M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
303k reviews
Mostly Positive
Battle RoyaleMultiplayer
Killing Floor 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$44.4M–$119.4M after Steam's cut $80.8M–$183.7M before Steam's cut
$29.99
129k reviews
Very Positive
ZombiesMultiplayer
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.1M–8.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.6M–$149.5M after Steam's cut $101.1M–$230.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
176k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like
DARK SOULS™ II: Scholar of the First Sin
2015
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$71.3M–$191.8M after Steam's cut $129.7M–$295.0M before Steam's cut
$39.99
133k reviews
Very Positive
Souls-likeDark Fantasy

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