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How many copies did ROGUE LIGHT DECK BUILDER sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 23k–38k
$26k–$69k after Steam's cut $47k–$106k before Steam's cut
from 940 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid ROGUE LIGHT DECK BUILDER and predicted how it would do from its 7 similar games. Every figure here, including ROGUE LIGHT DECK BUILDER's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 53k–60k
best case 55k (Capybara Spa)
Games like ROGUE LIGHT DECK BUILDER

A typical game among these

≈ 53k–60k copies

≈ $171k after Steam's cut

from ~2k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

3 of the 7 similar games are hits.

Best case: Capybara Spa at ≈ 42k–69k copies, ≈ $93k–$249k after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 69 reviews in their first month; the range was 45 to 870.
Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Clicker (6 of 7) and Idler (4 of 7).
The winners
Winners here lead with Simulation + Sandbox, priced around $8.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of the 7 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

NGU INDUSTRIES
2021
Est. copies
≈ 39k–63k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessIdler
Capybara Spa
2022
Est. copies
≈ 42k–69k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$93k–$249k after Steam's cut $169k–$384k before Steam's cut
$7.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SimulationCasual
Holyday City: Reloaded
2018
Est. copies
≈ 50k–81k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2k reviews
Very Positive
FunnyCapitalism
SimPocalypse
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$32k before Steam's cut
$9.99
114 reviews
Mixed
IdlerClicker
The Unexpected Quest
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut
$12.99
205 reviews
Mostly Positive
FantasyBase-Building
Plantabi: Little Garden
2024
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$11k after Steam's cut $7k–$16k before Steam's cut
$6.99
83 reviews
Very Positive
Flooded
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–6k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$12k–$33k after Steam's cut $22k–$51k before Steam's cut
$12.99
139 reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.