How much revenue did Capybara Spa make?

$93k–$249k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Capybara Spa sell?

Q: How many copies did Capybara Spa sell?

42k to 69k copies, based on its 2k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 42k–69k; $93k–$249k after Steam's cut $169k–$384k before Steam's cut; from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Capybara Spa and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Capybara Spa's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 17.3M–30.2M

best case 56.0M (Rust)

Games like Capybara Spa

A typical game among these

≈ 17.3M–30.2M copies

≈ $252.0M–$368.4M after Steam's cut

from ~445k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Rust at ≈ 42.7M–69.3M copies, ≈ $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share Open World (5 of 8) and Sandbox (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Farming Sim + Life Sim, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Building; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2006 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
DayZ 2018	Est. copies ≈ 14.3M–23.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $196.4M–$527.9M after Steam's cut $357.0M–$812.2M before Steam's cut	$49.99	470k reviews Mostly Positive	SurvivalOpen World
Stardew Valley 2016	Est. copies ≈ 43.5M–70.7M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $179.4M–$482.4M after Steam's cut $326.2M–$742.1M before Steam's cut	$14.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Farming SimPixel Graphics
Project Zomboid 2013	Est. copies ≈ 30.5M–49.6M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $209.9M–$564.4M after Steam's cut $381.6M–$868.2M before Steam's cut	$24.99	483k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies
BeamNG.drive 2015	Est. copies ≈ 20.5M–33.4M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $141.2M–$379.6M after Steam's cut $256.7M–$584.0M before Steam's cut	$24.99	421k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SimulationDriving
Rust 2018	Est. copies ≈ 42.7M–69.3M 3.2x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $469.3M–$1261.8M after Steam's cut $853.3M–$1941.3M before Steam's cut	$39.99	1.4M reviews Very Positive	SurvivalCrafting
10 Pin Bowling (VR Support) 2021	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 too small to compare SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $75–$200 after Steam's cut $137–$308 before Steam's cut	$10.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	SimulationSports
Garry's Mod 2006	Est. copies ≈ 80.0M–130.1M 2.8x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $219.9M–$591.3M after Steam's cut $399.8M–$909.6M before Steam's cut	$9.99	1.3M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	SandboxModdable
7 Days to Die 2024	Est. copies ≈ 9.9M–16.2M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue $123.1M–$331.0M after Steam's cut $223.8M–$509.2M before Steam's cut	$44.99	401k reviews Very Positive	SurvivalZombies