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How many copies did planetarian ~the reverie of a little planet~ sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 114k–185k
from 2k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid planetarian ~the reverie of a little planet~ and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including planetarian ~the reverie of a little planet~'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 191k–278k
best case 2.0M (NEKOPARA Vol. 1)
Games like planetarian ~the reverie of a little planet~

A typical game among these

≈ 191k–278k copies

≈ $580k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

These similar games lean toward the genre's biggest winners; the typical figure comes from its ordinary successes.

Best case: NEKOPARA Vol. 1 at ≈ 1.5M–2.5M copies, ≈ $4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Anime (8 of 8) and Visual Novel (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Anime, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

ATRI -My Dear Moments-
2020
Est. copies
≈ 584k–949k
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$3.4M–$9.1M after Steam's cut $6.1M–$13.9M before Steam's cut
$20.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
5.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
Our End of the World
2017
Est. copies
≈ 167k–272k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$459k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $835k–$1.9M before Steam's cut
$9.99
5k reviews
Mostly Positive
Sexual ContentDating Sim
NEKOPARA Vol. 0
2015
Est. copies
≈ 869k–1.4M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$715k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before Steam's cut
$2.99
18k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeNudity
eden*
2015
Est. copies
≈ 257k–418k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.6M–$5.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelAnime
NEKOPARA Vol. 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 535k–870k
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.5M–$4.0M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeSexual Content
NEKOPARA Vol. 3
2017
Est. copies
≈ 414k–672k
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before Steam's cut
$9.99
12k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiSexual Content
NEKOPARA Extra
2018
Est. copies
≈ 124k–201k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$170k–$456k after Steam's cut $308k–$701k before Steam's cut
$4.99
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeCute

Sizing up your own game? See how many copies games in its genre usually sell before you build it.