How much revenue did Haneda Girl make?

$10k–$27k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Haneda Girl sell?

Q: How many copies did Haneda Girl sell?

2k to 4k copies, based on its 97 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 2k–4k; $10k–$27k after Steam's cut $18k–$41k before Steam's cut; from 97 reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Haneda Girl and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Haneda Girl's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–3k

best case 166k (Hidden Deep)

Games like Haneda Girl

A typical game among these

≈ 2k–3k copies

≈ $2k–$9k after Steam's cut

from ~78 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

1 of the 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Hidden Deep at ≈ 127k–206k copies, ≈ $869k–$2.3M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 32 reviews in their first month; the range was 10 to 819.

Games with under about 100 reviews in month one almost never recover.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share 2D Platformer (5 of 8) and Physics (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Shooter + Physics, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Early Access + Aliens + Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2017 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
King Of Water 2022	Est. copies ≈ 1k–2k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $351–$944 after Steam's cut $639–$1k before Steam's cut	$0.99	52 reviews Very Positive	Choose Your Own Adventure2D Platformer
Hitmen Havoc 2024	Est. copies ≈ 794–1k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before Steam's cut	$11.99	32 reviews Positive	MultiplayerAction
Hidden Deep 2022	Est. copies ≈ 127k–206k 65x vs typical SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $869k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	Early AccessShooter
Verlet Ascend 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–4k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before Steam's cut	$6.99	90 reviews Very Positive	Action RoguelikeAction
Pixel Shooter 2017	Est. copies ≈ 7k–11k 2.5x vs typical SteamSpy 20k–50k	Est. revenue $18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before Steam's cut	$9.99	192 reviews Mostly Negative	Side Scroller2D Platformer
Age of Valakas: Vietnam 2022	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $910–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before Steam's cut	$1.99	67 reviews Very Positive	ActionPlatformer
Physical Layer 2023	Est. copies ≈ 2k–3k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$20k before Steam's cut	$8.99	78 reviews Very Positive	ActionIndie
Jump The Gun 2022	Est. copies ≈ 3k–5k SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue Free	Free	113 reviews Very Positive	AdventurePsychological Horror