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How many copies did Black Light Kills sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–4k
$2k–$7k after Steam's cut $4k–$10k before Steam's cut
from 90 reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Black Light Kills and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Black Light Kills's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 104k–513k
best case 2.3M (Five Nights at Freddy's: Security Breach)
Games like Black Light Kills

A typical game among these

≈ 104k–513k copies

≈ $1.1M–$4.1M after Steam's cut

from ~6k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Five Nights at Freddy's: Security Breach at ≈ 1.7M–2.8M copies, ≈ $19.1M–$51.4M after Steam's cut. It is a breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 1k reviews in their first month; the range was 802 to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Horror (5 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + Survival Horror, priced around $40. The breakout hits carry Robots + Exploration + Multiple Endings; a typical game here doesn't.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.3x vs typical
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≈ 1.7M–2.8M
12x vs typical
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3.0x vs typical
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