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How many copies did Deliver Us Mars sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 75k–122k
$621k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before Steam's cut
from 3k reviews (Mostly Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Deliver Us Mars and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Deliver Us Mars's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.7M–6.8M
best case 23.2M (Half-Life 2)
Games like Deliver Us Mars

A typical game among these

≈ 2.7M–6.8M copies

≈ $47.4M–$94.8M after Steam's cut

from ~136k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: Half-Life 2 at ≈ 17.7M–28.8M copies, ≈ $48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 32k reviews in their first month; the range was 11k to 93k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Sci-fi (8 of 8) and First-Person (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Sci-fi, priced around $10.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2004 to 2025, and 1 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Half-Life 2
2004
Est. copies
≈ 17.7M–28.8M
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$48.6M–$130.7M after Steam's cut $88.4M–$201.1M before Steam's cut
$9.99
280k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction
Starfield
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$59.8M–$160.9M after Steam's cut $108.8M–$247.5M before Steam's cut
$49.99
175k reviews
Mixed
SpaceSingleplayer
Halo: The Master Chief Collection
2019
Est. copies
≈ 7.6M–12.3M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$83.3M–$223.9M after Steam's cut $151.4M–$344.5M before Steam's cut
$39.99
263k reviews
Very Positive
Great SoundtrackFPS
Prey
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.5M–$41.8M after Steam's cut $28.2M–$64.2M before Steam's cut
$29.99
55k reviews
Very Positive
Sci-fiImmersive Sim
STAR WARS Jedi: Survivor™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$41.3M–$111.2M after Steam's cut $75.2M–$171.0M before Steam's cut
$69.99
87k reviews
Mostly Positive
ActionAdventure
Black Mesa
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$19.8M–$53.2M after Steam's cut $35.9M–$81.8M before Steam's cut
$19.99
145k reviews
Very Positive
FPSRemake
Split Fiction
2025
Est. copies
≈ 3.2M–5.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.4M–$116.6M after Steam's cut $78.8M–$179.4M before Steam's cut
$49.99
127k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Co-opSplit Screen
Mass Effect™ Legendary Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.3M after Steam's cut $50.3M–$114.4M before Steam's cut
$59.99
68k reviews
Very Positive

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