How much revenue did Prey make?

$15.5M–$41.8M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Prey sell?

Q: How many copies did Prey sell?

1.9M to 3.1M copies, based on its 55k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.9M–3.1M; $15.5M–$41.8M after Steam's cut $28.2M–$64.2M before Steam's cut; from 55k reviews (Very Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Prey and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Prey's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 246k–929k

best case 2.4M (The Planet Crafter)

Games like Prey

A typical game among these

≈ 246k–929k copies

≈ $3.2M–$18.6M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of these similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so its genre is hard to place.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Planet Crafter at ≈ 1.9M–3.0M copies, ≈ $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 3k to 32k.

The genre you'd be entering

These games: The similar games share FPS (4 of 8) and Sci-fi (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Base-Building, priced around $24.
When they shipped: The similar games span 2013 to 2024, and 3 of the 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
X4: Foundations 2018	Est. copies ≈ 920k–1.5M 3.4x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.7M–$34.0M after Steam's cut $23.0M–$52.3M before Steam's cut	$49.99	30k reviews Mostly Positive	Space SimSimulation
System Shock® 2 (1999) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 190–308 too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3 reviews 3 user reviews	CyberpunkRPG
The Planet Crafter 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.0M 8.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.2M–$32.9M after Steam's cut $22.3M–$50.6M before Steam's cut	$23.99	75k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
System Shock® 2 (1999) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 496k–805k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkRPG
Star Trucker 2024	Est. copies ≈ 134k–217k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $920k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before Steam's cut	$24.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	TransportationSpace Sim
System Shock 2023	Est. copies ≈ 323k–525k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.6M–$9.6M after Steam's cut $6.5M–$14.7M before Steam's cut	$39.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ActionImmersive Sim
Void Bastards 2019	Est. copies ≈ 157k–255k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.3M before Steam's cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction Roguelike
Sins of a Solar Empire II 2024	Est. copies ≈ 218k–354k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.4M before Steam's cut	$49.99	9k reviews Very Positive	SpaceStrategy