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How many copies did Who Dies First ? sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 893–1k
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before Steam's cut
from 36 reviews (Positive)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Who Dies First ? and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Who Dies First ?'s, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 447k–1.2M
best case 1.9M (The Henry Stickmin Collection)
Games like Who Dies First ?

A typical game among these

≈ 447k–1.2M copies

≈ $1.3M–$9.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

7 of the 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The Henry Stickmin Collection at ≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies, ≈ $6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut.

What their first month looked like
About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the range was 6 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (6 of 8) and Choices Matter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Multiple Endings + Choose Your Own Adventure, priced around $15.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2015 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Jackbox Party Pack 3
2016
Est. copies
≈ 278k–451k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$7.9M before Steam's cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Local MultiplayerTrivia
Life is Strange: Before the Storm
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.2M before Steam's cut
$16.99
38k reviews
Very Positive
Story RichChoices Matter
The Test
2020
Est. copies
≈ 499k–810k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$273k–$734k after Steam's cut $496k–$1.1M before Steam's cut
$1.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Choose Your Own AdventureSimulation
The Henry Stickmin Collection
2020
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.1M–$16.4M after Steam's cut $11.1M–$25.3M before Steam's cut
$14.99
60k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FunnyMultiple Endings
Tales from the Borderlands
2021
Est. copies
≈ 486k–790k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.2M after Steam's cut $4.9M–$11.1M before Steam's cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
ComedyAdventure
Minecraft: Story Mode - A Telltale Games Series
2015
Est. copies
≈ 404k–657k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
8k reviews
Mostly Positive
MemesAdventure
Majotori
2017
Est. copies
≈ 72k–116k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$118k–$317k after Steam's cut $214k–$487k before Steam's cut
$5.99
2k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
TriviaMultiple Endings
内卷三年竟穿越:皇帝模拟器
2022
Est. copies
≈ 372–605
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$306–$823 after Steam's cut $556–$1k before Steam's cut
$2.99
15 reviews
Mostly Negative
Early AccessCasual

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