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How many copies did Hardland sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–27k
$114k–$306k after Steam's cut $207k–$471k before Steam's cut
from 575 reviews (Mixed)

Copies are estimated from the public review count, adjusted for release year, and cross-checked against SteamSpy's own estimate.

Did the prediction match what actually happened?

We hid Hardland and predicted how it would do from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Hardland's, is estimated from Steam reviews.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 6.7M–16.1M
best case 57.5M (The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered)
Games like Hardland

A typical game among these

≈ 6.7M–16.1M copies

≈ $50.6M–$374.0M after Steam's cut

from ~169k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019's Steam releases earned $34k or more before Steam's cut, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of the similar games are hits.

Best case: The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered at ≈ 43.8M–71.2M copies, ≈ $602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
These games
The similar games share Story Rich (7 of 8) and Fantasy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Story Rich, priced around $50.
When they shipped
The similar games span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.8M–$236.1M after Steam's cut $159.6M–$363.2M before Steam's cut
$44.99
206k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
The Witcher 3: Wild Hunt — Remastered
2015
Est. copies
≈ 43.8M–71.2M
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$602.5M–$1620.0M after Steam's cut $1095.5M–$2492.3M before Steam's cut
$49.99
898k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldRPG
The Witcher: Enhanced Edition Director's Cut
2008
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–9.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.2M–$40.9M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.0M before Steam's cut
$9.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
Hogwarts Legacy
2023
Est. copies
≈ 9.3M–15.1M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$153.2M–$412.0M after Steam's cut $278.6M–$633.8M before Steam's cut
$59.99
375k reviews
Very Positive
MagicOpen World
Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.3M–34.6M
5.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$351.5M–$945.2M after Steam's cut $639.2M–$1454.1M before Steam's cut
$59.99
859k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
RPGCharacter Customization
The Witcher 2: Assassins of Kings Enhanced Edition
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$31.5M–$84.6M after Steam's cut $57.2M–$130.2M before Steam's cut
$19.99
91k reviews
Very Positive
RPGFantasy
STAR WARS™ Knights of the Old Republic™
2009
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.9M after Steam's cut $10.7M–$24.5M before Steam's cut
$9.99
34k reviews
Very Positive
RPGSci-fi
Disco Elysium - The Final Cut
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.7M–$112.0M after Steam's cut $75.8M–$172.3M before Steam's cut
$39.99
132k reviews
Very Positive

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